需要逃生的形態

以下兩款是需要逃生的危險形態
(反之,若果股價大跌,但未觸及逃生形態,可用減倉代替,甚至個別走勢強勁的股票,可以大膽「坐」至危險形態出現才賣出)

1.) 一日反轉:
根據livermore原裝正版定義的三個條件:
-本日高位比昨日高位高
-本日收市點比昨日收市點低
-本日成交量比昨日成交量多

「一日反轉」代表有人期望過高,但與此同時有人很悲觀,而且因為量大,不只散戶,連大戶也各持己見,是見頂訊號。

2.) 跌破「最小抵抗點」:
亦是完全跟隨livermore定義:
-每隻股票有其「股性」,在某時間內,在價量點後只會「慣性回調」一定的百分比,視個股而異,少至3%也有,最多為價量點的7%。
「慣性回調」的最深百分比就是「最小抵抗點」。
通常「最小抵抗點」附近會見強力支持。

若果跌穿「最小抵抗點」,走勢很可能轉壞。

2011年9月27日 星期二

雙城記

忽然諗起「雙城記」開頭個段,勁fit現在股市及股民的心態:

It was the best of times, it was the worst of times,
it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness,
it was the epoch of belief, it was the epoch of incredulity,
it was the season of Light, it was the season of Darkness,
it was the spring of hope, it was the winter of despair,
we had everything before us, we had nothing before us,
we were all going direct to heaven, we were all going direct the other way
- in short, the period was so far like the present period, that some of its noisiest authorities insisted on its being received, for good or for evil, in the superlative degree of comparison only.

6 則留言:

  1. 願來我開番個chat就係為咗睇 test msg, haha

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  2. of cousre i must test before type a lot of serious msg la, otherwise like last time type everytime then tell you: oops, errors!

    - the google account leave msg cannot work again.

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  3. give-up, i will use anonymous to leave msg.

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